Friday 12 September 2014

Vale 0f White Horse, Abingdon Dunmore - Liberal Democrat hold

Vale 0f White Horse, Abingdon Dunmore - Liberal Democrat hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"  since 2009 B   since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Liberal Democrat            745       52.4%       +14.7%          +16.5%        -0.3%         -0.2%             -0.1%
Conservative          501       35.2%          -6.1%             -6.3%        -4.6%          -6.0%             -6.0%
UKIP           90         6.3%  from nowhere     from nowhere from nowhere from nowhere     from nowhere
Labour            87         6.1%          -4.7%             -5.5%        +3.3%          -0.2%             -0.3%
Green             
        -10.2%           -11.0%        -4.7%

Total votes      1,423
           62%               66%         94%           75%              76%

Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat ~11% since 2011, ~2% since 2009 by-election and ~3% since 2007

Saturday 6 September 2014

Forthcoming Council by elections

There are 12 by-elections remaining during September and another 13 so far in October with one being for two seats. There are a further 23 known vacancies where the election has as yet no date.

11th September - 6
Carlisle BC, Castle - Labour died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Cumbria CC, Castle - Labour died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Newark & Sherwood DC, Collingham & Meering - Conservative died - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP, Ind
Newark & Sherwood DC, Ollerton - Labour died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP
Newham LB, Becton - Labour died - 7 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green, CPA, TUSAC
Valley of White Horse DC, Abingdon Dunmore - Liberal Democrat resigned - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP

18th September - 3
Conwy UA, Abergele Pensarn - Labour resigned - 7 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP, 3 x Ind, No Description
Durham UA, Crook - Independent died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Ind
Oxford BC, Quarry & Risinghurst - Labour resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, Green, English Democrat

25th September - 3
Epping Forest DC, Hemnall - Conservative died - 4 candidates: Con, LD, UKIP, Green
Guildford BC, Lovelace - Conservative died - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP
Somerset CC, Frome North - Liberal Democrat resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, Green, Ind

2nd October - 6 for 7 seats
Cardiff UA, Llandaff North - Labour resigned
Cumbria CC, Windermere - Liberal Democrat died - 4 candidates: Con, LD, Green, Ind
Haringey LB, Woodside - Labour died
South Lakeland DC, Windermere Town - Liberal Domocrat died - 3 candidates: Con, LD, Green
South Northamptonshite DC, Grange Park - 2 Conservatives resigned - 5 candidates: 2 Con, 1 Lab, 2 UKIP
South Tyneside MB, Westoe - Independent died

9th October - 3
Blackpool BC, Waterloo - Conservative died
Chelmsford BC, Bicknacre & East & WestHanningfield - Conservative died
Rushmoor BC, West Heath - UKIP resigned

16th October - 2
Rutland UA, Oakham South West - Conservative resigned
Swale BC, Sheppey Central - Conservative

23rd October - 1
Argyll & Bute UA, Oban North & Lorn - Independent died

30th October - 1
North Ayrshire UA, North Coast - SNP died

Current known vacancies where by-election not yet called - 23
Aberdeenshire UA, Troup - Conservative died 4th September
Bolton MB, Harper Green - Labour died 28th July
Castle Point BC, Canvey Island East - Canvey Island Independent disqualified for non-attendance around 20th May
Conwy UA, Towyn - Conservative died 9th August
Cornwall UA, Mevagisset - Labour resigned around 31st August
Crawley BC, Southgate - Conservative sitting as UKIP resigned 29th August
Dartford BC, Brent - Conservative died early August
Dartford BC, Littlebrook - Labour died 14th August
Durham UA, Burnopfield & Dipton - Derwentside Independent resigned around end of August / beginning of September
Essex CC, Brightlingsea - UKIP resigned 3rd September
Forest of Dean DC, Newnham & Westerley - Independent died 3rd August
Gloucestershire CC, Mitcheldean, Independent died 3rd August
Kingston-upon-Thames LB, Tudor - Conservative resigned 1st September
Mansfield DC, Netherfield - Mansfield Independent Forum died 27th May
Midlothian UA, Midlothian East - Labour sitting as Independent resigned around 11th August
Mid Sussex DC, Haywards Heath Lucastes - Conservative died 6th August
Neath Port Talbot UA, Sandfields East - Labour died 12th March
Rotherham MB, Silverwood - Labour resigned around end of August / beginning of September
Rugby BC, Bilton - Conservative resigned around 29th August
Rutland UA, Whissendine - Independent died 30th August
Shepway DC, Folkestone, Harvey West - Conservative died 25th August
Thurrock BC, West Thurrock & South Stifford - Labour died 12th August
York UA, Westfield - Labour sitting as Liberal Democrat died 22nd August

Friday 5 September 2014

Surrey Heath, Old Dean - Labour hold

Surrey Heath, Old Dean - Labour hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Labour         290       44.1%        -5.6%            -6.2%        +5.0%           +5.2%
Conservative         196       29.8%        -0.5%            -1.0%        -3.3%           -4.5%
UKIP         171       26.0%     +14.3%         +13.9%     +12.4%         +11.5%
Liberal Democrat   

        -8.2%            -6.6%      -14.1%          -12.3%
Total votes         657   
         59%             61%         59%              63%

Swing Labour to Conservative ~2½% since 2011 but Conservative to Labour 4-5% since 2007 

Oxford, Carfax - Labour hold

Oxford, Carfax - Labour hold

Party  2014 B votes     2014 B share     since 2014     since 2012     since 2010     since 2008   
Labour           168         44.2%     +15.6%     +11.8%     +23.8%     +26.9%
Liberal Democrat             101         26.6%       +9.0%       +3.3%     -11.0%       -9.2%
Green             63         16.6%       -14.2%       -9.9%       -5.0%       -3.2%
Conservative             24           6.3%      -13.8%     -11.6%     -14.1%     -20.8%
UKIP             24           6.3%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
Loony

       -2.9%


Total votes           380
         24%        43%       15%        36%

Swing Green to Labour ~15% since May 2014 but probably not very meaningful otherwise

Shepway, Folkstone Harvey Central - UKIP gain from Conservative

Shepway, Folkstone Harvey Central - UKIP gain from Conservative
Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
UKIP         287       27.9%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Conservative         224       21.7%       -17.3%           -16.9%       -33.8%           -33.5%
Liberal Democrat           198       19.2%         +2.3%            +1.6%       -25.2%           -25.5%
Labour         196       19.0%         -9.1%            -8.1%  from nowhere     from nowhere
Green           96         9.3%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
TUSAC           29         2.8%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Independent           
       -15.9%           -16.7%

Total votes      1,030
          75%              78%          98%            107% 

David Callahan (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 287
Rodica Wheeler (The Conservative Party Candidate) 224
Tom McNeice (Liberal Democrat) 198
Wendy Mitchell (Labour Party Candidate) 196
David Horton (The Green Party) 96
Seth Cruse (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 29